The Likud Party has experienced a significant rise following the war with Iran, according to a new election survey conducted by Walla and published on Wednesday.
The survey reveals that Likud gained 4 seats, increasing its total to 26, up from 22 in the previous poll. This marks the first time since October 2024 that Likud has surpassed Naftali Bennett’s new party, which has dropped to 24 seats.
Although Likud is strengthening, the shift primarily reflects changes within the coalition bloc. Otzma Yehudit, led by Itamar Ben-Gvir, has lost two seats, dropping to 6.
Meanwhile, in the opposition bloc, the Democrats, led by Yair Golan, have gained ground, rising to 12 seats at the expense of Yesh Atid, the National Unity Party, and Bennett’s party.
The overall bloc picture shows only a slight change: Netanyahu's bloc has risen from 46 to 48 seats, while the opposition bloc weakens by one seat but still maintains a majority of 62 seats, allowing Bennett to form an alternative government even without the Arab parties.
Public overwhelmingly supports ending the war in Gaza
A majority of 52% of the public supports a ceasefire with Iran, including 66% of opposition voters and 34% of coalition voters. On the other hand, 33% oppose the ceasefire (almost half of coalition voters), and 15% have no opinion.
The public is even more decisive on the issue of ending the war in Gaza and signing a deal for the release of hostages: 67% support the deal, including 90% of opposition voters and 67% of undecided voters. However, most coalition voters (54%) oppose the deal.
Has the public changed its opinion on Netanyahu?
Despite the ongoing war, most respondents (54%) say their stance toward Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu remains unchanged. About a third (32%) report a positive shift, while only 8% report a negative one. Among the undecided, Netanyahu gained more support than he lost.
Twice as many improved their opinion of him compared to those who saw him more negatively, the survey noted.
These findings come from a survey conducted for the Walla website by Lazar Research, led by Dr. Menachem Lazar, in collaboration with the internet response panel Panel4All. The survey was conducted between June 24-25, 2025, with 583 respondents representing a sample of Israel’s adult population (ages 18 and up), including both Jews and Arabs. The maximum sampling error for this survey is 4.3%.